Tuesday, March 01, 2005


The Contenders

The always amusing Mickey Kaus is continuing to try to figure out a way to get John Kerry out of the spotlight. The goal is to get Kerry off the stage to keep him from drowning out other Democrats who may otherwise have a chance to emerge as leaders. Read his most recent idea here.

He also observes, If she's smart, Hillary doesn't want Kerry out of the presidential race. Until January, 2008, he's her best friend--an easily-beatable foil who takes up precious media space that other, more formidable challengers might otherwise make good use of.

Now 2008's a long way off and I'm not inclined to speculate too much except to offer these two thoughts:

First, Hillary, while very polarizing is also very smart - as witnessed in her recent positioning toward the center on several key issues of late. Underestimate her at your own peril. She is absolutely the Democratic front runner as it stands and will likely be a very formidable candidate for President.

Secondly, I'm going to make a prediction in the Republican race which is wide open as of now. Senator George Allen from Virginia is going to be the man to beat. He's intelligent, articulate, and led the GOP to a huge win in the Senate last November. (He headed the National Republican Senatorial Committee in its candidate recruitment and fundraising efforts that led to the pickup of four seats for the GOP majority.) And not to worry about Senators not being able to win the White House, since he was Governor previously. Hugh Hewitt thinks the upcoming battle over Supreme Court nominees could propell Allen into the spotlight.

That's Allen v. Clinton in '08. Remember, you heard it here first.

Do you really think Hillary can appeal to Red State voters? I can't name one other red state I think she'll be able to win that Kerry or Al Gore didn't. Can you?
Well, I think a lot can change in 3 1/2 years. I agree that will be a formidable task for her, but she's made significant inroads in the rural sections of New York state (largely conservative areas) since she was elected. Whether that can be duplicated in the South and much of the midwest I don't know.
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